Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Bentleigh Greens to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBentleigh Greens to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.36
Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
09:30 WAT, Friday 27 March: Bentleigh Greens v Dandenong Thunder in the Victoria NPL.
Current form
Bentleigh Greens, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Green Gully, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Dandenong Thunder, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over South Melbourne, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bentleigh Greens, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Dandenong Thunder.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bentleigh Greens 1.7 xG, Dandenong Thunder 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bentleigh Greens 48%, draw 23%, Dandenong Thunder 29%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Bentleigh Greens to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bentleigh Greens 1–1 Dandenong Thunder. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bentleigh Greens48%fair 2.06 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Dandenong Thunder29%fair 3.50 · @2.62
2.74Expected goals
1.68Bentleigh Greens xG
1.07Dandenong Thunder xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Bentleigh Greens 1.7 – 1.1 Dandenong Thunder expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bentleigh Greens to win✓
48%
2.06
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Draw no bet
Bentleigh Greens (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Dandenong Thunder +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Bentleigh Greens to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bentleigh Greens / FT Bentleigh Greens✓
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Bentleigh Greens – last 6
WWLLWD
20 Mar
vs Green Gully
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ Altona Magic
2–0
W
7 Mar
@ South Melbourne
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Hume City
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Avondale
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Sunshine Georgies
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dandenong Thunder – last 6
WLLLLD
21 Mar
vs South Melbourne
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Hume City
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Avondale
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Sunshine Georgies
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Heidelberg United
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Melbourne City II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bentleigh Greens and Dandenong Thunder.
What is the prediction for Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder?
On our numbers Bentleigh Greens have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dandenong Thunder 29%.
How many goals will there be in Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder?
Our predicted score is Bentleigh Greens 1–1 Dandenong Thunder, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder?
Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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