South Melbourne vs Dandenong City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
South Melbourne welcome Dandenong City for a Victoria NPL fixture on Tuesday 31 March (09:30 WAT).
Current form
South Melbourne, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Dandenong Thunder, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Dandenong City, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hume City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours South Melbourne, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Dandenong City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Melbourne 1.6 xG, Dandenong City 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Melbourne 56%, draw 25%, Dandenong City 19%.
Lower-risk option: South Melbourne or draw (81%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Melbourne 1–0 Dandenong City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Melbourne56%fair 1.79 · @1.64
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.80
Dandenong City19%fair 5.27 · @4.50
2.57Expected goals
1.63South Melbourne xG
0.94Dandenong City xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 1.6 – 0.9 Dandenong City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Melbourne to win✓
56%
1.79
1.64
Double chance
South Melbourne or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Draw no bet
South Melbourne (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Dandenong City +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
South Melbourne to score first
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
South Melbourne – last 6
LLWWWW
21 Mar
@ Dandenong Thunder
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Vanuatu United
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Green Gully
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Bentleigh Greens
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Solomon Kings
5–0
W
28 Feb
@ Altona Magic
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dandenong City – last 6
DLDWLD
20 Mar
vs Hume City
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Avondale
1–4
L
6 Mar
vs Sunshine Georgies
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Heidelberg United
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Melbourne City II
2–4
L
14 Feb
@ St. Albans Saints
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Melbourne and Dandenong City.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Dandenong City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Dandenong City?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dandenong City 19%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Dandenong City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Dandenong City?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 1–0 Dandenong City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Dandenong City?
South Melbourne vs Dandenong City (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
