South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:30 WAT, Sunday 19 April: South Melbourne v Oakleigh Cannons in the Victoria NPL.
Current form
South Melbourne, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hekari United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Oakleigh Cannons, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Hume City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Melbourne 1.2 xG, Oakleigh Cannons 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Melbourne 31%, draw 26%, Oakleigh Cannons 43%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Melbourne 1–1 Oakleigh Cannons. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Melbourne31%fair 3.25 · @3.10
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.40
Oakleigh Cannons43%fair 2.32 · @2.05
2.69Expected goals
1.23South Melbourne xG
1.45Oakleigh Cannons xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 1.2 – 1.5 Oakleigh Cannons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oakleigh Cannons to win✓
43%
2.32
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Draw no bet
Oakleigh Cannons (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
South Melbourne +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
First team to score
Oakleigh Cannons to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oakleigh Cannons / FT Oakleigh Cannons✓
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.26
–
Recent results
South Melbourne – last 6
LWLWWL
18 Apr
vs Hekari United
1–2
L
15 Apr
vs Bula
2–0
W
12 Apr
@ Auckland FC 2
2–3
L
11 Apr
@ Preston Lions
3–0
W
31 Mar
vs Dandenong City
4–2
W
21 Mar
@ Dandenong Thunder
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Oakleigh Cannons – last 6
WDWLDW
11 Apr
vs Hume City
3–2
W
28 Mar
@ Avondale
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Sunshine Georgies
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Heidelberg United
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Melbourne City II
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ St. Albans Saints
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Melbourne and Oakleigh Cannons.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Oakleigh Cannons 43%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 1–1 Oakleigh Cannons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?
South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
