Heidelberg United 64%Draw 21%South Melbourne 15%Expected goals 1.77 – 1.09
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 3.30 – our chance 53% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +73%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHeidelberg United to win ✓64% · @1.10
Double chanceHeidelberg United or draw ✓85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @3.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:30 WAT, Friday 8 May: Heidelberg United v South Melbourne in the Victoria NPL, played at Olympic Park Stadium.
Current form
Heidelberg United, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hume City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
South Melbourne, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Auckland FC 2, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heidelberg United 1.8 xG, South Melbourne 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heidelberg United 64%, draw 21%, South Melbourne 15%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 3.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heidelberg United 1–1 South Melbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heidelberg United64%fair 1.56 · @1.10
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @6.20
South Melbourne15%fair 6.54 · @34.00
2.86Expected goals
1.77Heidelberg United xG
1.09South Melbourne xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Heidelberg United 1.8 – 1.1 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heidelberg United to win✓
64%
1.56
1.10
Double chance
Heidelberg United or draw✓
85%
1.18
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
3.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Heidelberg United (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
South Melbourne +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
First team to score
Heidelberg United to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heidelberg United / FT Heidelberg United✓
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Heidelberg United – last 6
LWWDDL
2 May
@ Hume City
1–2
L
24 Apr
vs Avondale
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Sunshine Georgies
3–0
W
11 Apr
vs Altona Magic
2–2
D
27 Mar
vs Melbourne City II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ St. Albans Saints
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
South Melbourne – last 6
WLWWLL
6 May
@ Auckland FC 2
2–1
W
1 May
vs Melbourne City II
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ St. Albans Saints
4–0
W
21 Apr
vs Tahiti United
8–1
W
19 Apr
vs Oakleigh Cannons
0–3
L
18 Apr
vs Hekari United
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heidelberg United and South Melbourne.
What is the prediction for Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?
On our numbers Heidelberg United have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and South Melbourne 15%.
How many goals will there be in Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?
Our predicted score is Heidelberg United 1–1 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?
Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Olympic Park Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Olympic Park Stadium
St. Albans Saints1
Green Gully0
Oakleigh Cannons2
Dandenong Thunder0
Preston Lions1
Dandenong City0