South Melbourne 25%Draw 23%Sunshine Georgies 52%Expected goals 1.40 – 1.47
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSunshine Georgies to win ✓52% · @1.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.66
South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sunshine Georgies travel to face South Melbourne on Monday 18 May in the Victoria NPL – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT.
Current form
South Melbourne, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Bula, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Sunshine Georgies, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Hume City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours South Melbourne, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Sunshine Georgies.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Melbourne 1.4 xG, Sunshine Georgies 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Melbourne 25%, draw 23%, Sunshine Georgies 52%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Melbourne 1–1 Sunshine Georgies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Melbourne25%fair 3.93 · @7.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.80
Sunshine Georgies52%fair 1.92 · @1.33
2.87Expected goals
1.40South Melbourne xG
1.47Sunshine Georgies xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 1.4 – 1.5 Sunshine Georgies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sunshine Georgies to win✓
52%
1.92
1.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Sunshine Georgies (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
South Melbourne +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
First team to score
Sunshine Georgies to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sunshine Georgies / FT Sunshine Georgies✓
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
South Melbourne – last 6
WWLWLW
12 May
vs Bula
4–2
W
9 May
vs South Island United
4–2
W
8 May
@ Heidelberg United
0–4
L
6 May
@ Auckland FC 2
2–1
W
1 May
vs Melbourne City II
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ St. Albans Saints
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sunshine Georgies – last 6
LLDLDW
9 May
vs Hume City
2–4
L
2 May
@ Avondale
2–5
L
25 Apr
vs Altona Magic
1–1
D
18 Apr
vs Heidelberg United
0–3
L
12 Apr
@ Melbourne City II
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs St. Albans Saints
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Melbourne and Sunshine Georgies.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sunshine Georgies 52%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 1–1 Sunshine Georgies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies?
South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
