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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

South Melbourne v Altona Magic: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia
2–3
FT
South Melbourne 60%Draw 23%Altona Magic 18% Expected goals 1.96 – 0.93
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✗82% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

South Melbourne vs Altona Magic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

South Melbourne welcome Altona Magic for a Victoria NPL fixture on Sunday 7 June (06:30 WAT).

Current form

South Melbourne, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hume City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Altona Magic, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Oakleigh Cannons, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Altona Magic 1–2 South Melbourne.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give South Melbourne 2.0 xG, Altona Magic 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – South Melbourne 60%, draw 23%, Altona Magic 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: South Melbourne or draw (82%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Melbourne 1–0 Altona Magic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

South Melbourne60%fair 1.68 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.95
Altona Magic18%fair 5.69 · @4.40
2.89Expected goals
1.96South Melbourne xG
0.93Altona Magic xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: South Melbourne 2.0 – 0.9 Altona Magic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Melbourne to win ✗60%1.681.62
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✗82%1.211.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.681.55
Draw no betSouth Melbourne (draw no bet) ✗77%1.30–
Asian handicapSouth Melbourne -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.251.22
First team to scoreSouth Melbourne to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultSouth Melbourne ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne ✗39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

South Melbourne – last 6

DLLWLW
30 May@ Hume City1–1D
25 Mayvs Avondale0–4L
24 Mayvs Auckland FC 21–2L
20 Mayvs Vanuatu United4–0W
18 Mayvs Sunshine Georgies0–4L
12 Mayvs Bula4–2W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Altona Magic – last 6

LLWLWD
30 Mayvs Oakleigh Cannons0–2L
23 Mayvs Hume City1–3L
16 Mayvs Preston Lions1–0W
9 May@ Avondale1–5L
2 Mayvs Dandenong City1–0W
25 Apr@ Sunshine Georgies1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Altona Magic v South Melbourne1–2
South Melbourne vs Altona Magic head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Altona Magic?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win South Melbourne vs Altona Magic?

On our numbers South Melbourne have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Altona Magic 18%.

How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Altona Magic?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Altona Magic?

Our predicted score is South Melbourne 1–0 Altona Magic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is South Melbourne vs Altona Magic?

South Melbourne vs Altona Magic (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.