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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Avondale v Dandenong Thunder: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia · Avenger park

Avondale

WWWLW
11–0
FT

Dandenong Thunder

LLLDL
Avondale 77%Draw 14%Dandenong Thunder 9% Expected goals 3.07 – 0.86
77%
Betarazi pick

Avondale to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultAvondale to win ✓77% · @1.33
Double chanceAvondale or draw ✓91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28

Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Saturday 20 June: Avondale v Dandenong Thunder in the Victoria NPL, played at Avenger park.

Current form

Avondale, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Green Gully, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Dandenong Thunder, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sunshine Georgies, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Avondale, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for Dandenong Thunder.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Dandenong Thunder 0–1 Avondale.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Avondale 3.1 xG, Dandenong Thunder 0.9 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Avondale 77%, draw 14%, Dandenong Thunder 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Avondale to win (77%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.30, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avondale 3–0 Dandenong Thunder. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Avondale77%fair 1.30 · @1.33
Draw14%fair 7.11 · @5.00
Dandenong Thunder9%fair 11.44 · @7.00
3.93Expected goals
3.07Avondale xG
0.86Dandenong Thunder xG
59%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–09%
2–09%
3–18%
2–18%
4–07%
4–16%

From our goals model: Avondale 3.1 – 0.9 Dandenong Thunder expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAvondale to win ✓77%1.301.33
Double chanceAvondale or draw ✓91%1.101.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.65
Draw no betAvondale (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapAvondale -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.421.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓50%1.992.05
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗68%1.461.28
First team to scoreAvondale to score first ✓77%1.31–
Half-time resultAvondale ahead at half-time ✓62%1.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Avondale / FT Avondale ✓58%1.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%12.28–

Recent results

Avondale – last 6

WWWLWW
5 Jun@ Green Gully2–0W
30 Mayvs Bentleigh Greens4–0W
25 May@ South Melbourne4–0W
16 May@ Hume City0–3L
9 Mayvs Altona Magic5–1W
2 Mayvs Sunshine Georgies5–2W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Dandenong Thunder – last 6

LLLDLL
6 Junvs Sunshine Georgies2–3L
29 May@ Heidelberg United2–4L
24 May@ Melbourne City II0–2L
16 Mayvs St. Albans Saints2–2D
8 May@ Oakleigh Cannons0–2L
2 Mayvs Preston Lions0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026Dandenong Thunder v Avondale0–1
Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

FT Hume City3 Green Gully2 166%1.40X20%4.40215%6.40 2.2–1.0xG 1Hume City to win 66%@1.40 ✓
FT Heidelberg United0 Preston Lions1 146%1.95X23%3.55231%3.25 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✗
FT Sunshine Georgies3 Dandenong City2 136%2.80X26%3.40239%2.25 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder?

Our pick is Avondale to win with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder?

On our numbers Avondale have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Dandenong Thunder 9%.

How many goals will there be in Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder?

Our predicted score is Avondale 3–0 Dandenong Thunder, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder?

Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Avenger park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.