South Melbourne 66%Draw 20%Green Gully 14%Expected goals 2.18 – 0.87
66%
Betarazi pick
South Melbourne to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✗66% · @1.36
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✗86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
South Melbourne vs Green Gully: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 28 June the Victoria NPL brings South Melbourne against Green Gully. Kick-off: 06:30 WAT.
Current form
South Melbourne, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Bentleigh Greens, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Green Gully, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Hume City, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours South Melbourne, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Green Gully.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Green Gully 0–1 South Melbourne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Melbourne 2.2 xG, Green Gully 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Melbourne 66%, draw 20%, Green Gully 14%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was South Melbourne to win (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Melbourne 2–0 Green Gully. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Melbourne66%fair 1.52 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.40
Green Gully14%fair 7.30 · @7.25
3.05Expected goals
2.18South Melbourne xG
0.87Green Gully xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 2.2 – 0.9 Green Gully expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Green Gully?
Our pick is South Melbourne to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Green Gully?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Green Gully 14%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Green Gully?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Green Gully?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 2–0 Green Gully, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Green Gully?
South Melbourne vs Green Gully (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
