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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dandenong City v South Melbourne: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia

Dandenong City

DWLWW
0–2
FT

South Melbourne

WLWLD
Dandenong City 38%Draw 25%South Melbourne 37% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.37
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultDandenong City to win ✗38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.05

Dandenong City vs South Melbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

South Melbourne travel to face Dandenong City on Friday 10 July in the Victoria NPL – the ball rolls at 10:45 WAT.

Current form

Dandenong City, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hume City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

South Melbourne, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dandenong Thunder, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dandenong City, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for South Melbourne.

Head to head

When they last met (31 Mar 2026) it ended South Melbourne 4–2 Dandenong City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dandenong City 1.4 xG, South Melbourne 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dandenong City 38%, draw 25%, South Melbourne 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dandenong City 1–1 South Melbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dandenong City38%fair 2.64 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.60
South Melbourne37%fair 2.70 · @2.50
2.75Expected goals
1.37Dandenong City xG
1.37South Melbourne xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%

From our goals model: Dandenong City 1.4 – 1.4 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDandenong City to win ✗38%2.642.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.50
Draw no betDandenong City (draw no bet) ✗51%1.98–
Asian handicapDandenong City +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreSouth Melbourne to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne ✓22%4.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.05–

Recent results

Dandenong City – last 6

DWLWWW
4 Jul@ Hume City0–0D
26 Junvs Avondale3–1W
20 Jun@ Sunshine Georgies2–3L
5 Junvs Heidelberg United4–1W
30 May@ Melbourne City II1–0W
22 Mayvs St. Albans Saints2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

South Melbourne – last 6

WLWLDL
5 Julvs Dandenong Thunder1–0W
28 Junvs Green Gully1–2L
19 Jun@ Bentleigh Greens5–1W
7 Junvs Altona Magic2–3L
30 May@ Hume City1–1D
25 Mayvs Avondale0–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Mar 2026South Melbourne v Dandenong City4–2
Dandenong City vs South Melbourne head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

FT Green Gully1 Altona Magic3 139%2.25X25%3.45236%2.75 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Oakleigh Cannons2 Avondale0 147%2.05X23%3.65230%2.95 1.8–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.45 ✗
FT Preston Lions2 Hume City1 144%2.35X24%3.45232%2.60 1.6–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dandenong City vs South Melbourne?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Dandenong City vs South Melbourne?

On our numbers Dandenong City have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and South Melbourne 37%.

How many goals will there be in Dandenong City vs South Melbourne?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dandenong City vs South Melbourne?

Our predicted score is Dandenong City 1–1 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Dandenong City vs South Melbourne?

Dandenong City vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 10:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.