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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dandenong Thunder v Bentleigh Greens: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia · George Andrews Reserve

Dandenong Thunder

LLLLL
2–1
FT

Bentleigh Greens

LLLLL
Dandenong Thunder 27%Draw 22%Bentleigh Greens 51% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.81
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBentleigh Greens to win ✗51% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 11 July the Victoria NPL brings Dandenong Thunder against Bentleigh Greens at George Andrews Reserve. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT.

Current form

Dandenong Thunder, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to South Melbourne, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Bentleigh Greens, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Green Gully, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Bentleigh Greens 2–1 Dandenong Thunder.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dandenong Thunder 1.3 xG, Bentleigh Greens 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dandenong Thunder 27%, draw 22%, Bentleigh Greens 51%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dandenong Thunder 1–1 Bentleigh Greens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dandenong Thunder27%fair 3.77 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.65
Bentleigh Greens51%fair 1.96 · @1.95
3.10Expected goals
1.29Dandenong Thunder xG
1.81Bentleigh Greens xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Dandenong Thunder 1.3 – 1.8 Bentleigh Greens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBentleigh Greens to win ✗51%1.961.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.55
Draw no betBentleigh Greens (draw no bet) ✗66%1.52–
Asian handicapDandenong Thunder +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.581.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreBentleigh Greens to score first ✗56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bentleigh Greens / FT Bentleigh Greens ✗30%3.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

Dandenong Thunder – last 6

LLLLLL
5 Jul@ South Melbourne0–1L
27 Junvs Hume City1–3L
20 Jun@ Avondale0–11L
6 Junvs Sunshine Georgies2–3L
29 May@ Heidelberg United2–4L
24 May@ Melbourne City II0–2L
0.8Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bentleigh Greens – last 6

LLLLLD
3 Jul@ Green Gully0–3L
26 Junvs Altona Magic0–1L
19 Junvs South Melbourne1–5L
5 Junvs Hume City1–5L
30 May@ Avondale0–4L
22 Mayvs Sunshine Georgies0–0D
0.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Mar 2026Bentleigh Greens v Dandenong Thunder2–1
Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

FT Melbourne City II2 Heidelberg United2 126%3.55X22%4.00251%1.77 1.3–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?

On our numbers Dandenong Thunder have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bentleigh Greens 51%.

How many goals will there be in Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?

Our predicted score is Dandenong Thunder 1–1 Bentleigh Greens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?

Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at George Andrews Reserve.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.