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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

South Melbourne v St. Albans Saints: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia
South Melbourne 60%Draw 23%St. Albans Saints 17% Expected goals 1.99 – 1.04
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✓60% · @1.55
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

South Melbourne welcome St. Albans Saints for a Victoria NPL fixture on Sunday 2 August (06:30 WAT).

Current form

South Melbourne, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Adelaide United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

St. Albans Saints, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Hume City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours South Melbourne, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for St. Albans Saints.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended St. Albans Saints 0–4 South Melbourne.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give South Melbourne 2.0 xG, St. Albans Saints 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – South Melbourne 60%, draw 23%, St. Albans Saints 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Melbourne 1–1 St. Albans Saints. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

South Melbourne60%fair 1.67 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.00
St. Albans Saints17%fair 5.84 · @4.75
3.03Expected goals
1.99South Melbourne xG
1.04St. Albans Saints xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: South Melbourne 2.0 – 1.0 St. Albans Saints expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Melbourne to win ✓60%1.671.55
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓83%1.211.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.50
Draw no betSouth Melbourne (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapSt. Albans Saints +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
First team to scoreSouth Melbourne to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultSouth Melbourne ahead at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne ✓38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

South Melbourne – last 6

WWDWWL
30 Julvs Adelaide United2–1W
24 Jul@ Oakleigh Cannons2–1W
18 Julvs Preston Lions0–0D
10 Jul@ Dandenong City2–0W
5 Julvs Dandenong Thunder1–0W
28 Junvs Green Gully1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

St. Albans Saints – last 6

WDDDLW
24 Julvs Hume City3–2W
18 Jul@ Avondale1–1D
12 Julvs Sunshine Georgies2–2D
3 Jul@ Heidelberg United1–1D
26 Junvs Melbourne City II0–2L
21 Junvs Altona Magic2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026St. Albans Saints v South Melbourne0–4
South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints?

On our numbers South Melbourne have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and St. Albans Saints 17%.

How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints?

Our predicted score is South Melbourne 1–1 St. Albans Saints, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints?

South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.