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Dandenong Thunder v Oakleigh Cannons: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia · George Andrews Reserve
Dandenong Thunder 12%Draw 16%Oakleigh Cannons 72% Expected goals 0.86 – 2.40
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOakleigh Cannons to win ✓72% · @1.12
Double chanceOakleigh Cannons or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

08:15 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Dandenong Thunder v Oakleigh Cannons in the Victoria NPL, played at George Andrews Reserve.

Current form

Dandenong Thunder, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Preston Lions, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Oakleigh Cannons, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Green Gully, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Oakleigh Cannons, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Dandenong Thunder.

Head to head

When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Oakleigh Cannons 2–0 Dandenong Thunder.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dandenong Thunder 0.9 xG, Oakleigh Cannons 2.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dandenong Thunder 12%, draw 16%, Oakleigh Cannons 72%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dandenong Thunder 1–2 Oakleigh Cannons. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dandenong Thunder12%fair 8.40 · @16.00
Draw16%fair 6.06 · @6.75
Oakleigh Cannons72%fair 1.40 · @1.12
3.27Expected goals
0.86Dandenong Thunder xG
2.40Oakleigh Cannons xG
55%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
0–39%
1–18%
1–38%

From our goals model: Dandenong Thunder 0.9 – 2.4 Oakleigh Cannons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOakleigh Cannons to win ✓72%1.401.12
Double chanceOakleigh Cannons or draw ✓88%1.14–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.822.05 ▲
Draw no betOakleigh Cannons (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapOakleigh Cannons -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.801.77
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.361.33
First team to scoreOakleigh Cannons to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultOakleigh Cannons ahead at half-time ✓52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oakleigh Cannons / FT Oakleigh Cannons ✓48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

Dandenong Thunder – last 6

LLLLWL
16 Aug@ Preston Lions0–3L
1 Augvs Dandenong City0–3L
25 Julvs Altona Magic0–2L
17 Jul@ Green Gully1–3L
11 Julvs Bentleigh Greens2–1W
5 Jul@ South Melbourne0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Oakleigh Cannons – last 6

WDLWWD
14 Augvs Green Gully4–1W
31 Jul@ Bentleigh Greens0–0D
24 Julvs South Melbourne1–2L
18 Jul@ Hume City1–0W
10 Julvs Avondale2–0W
4 Jul@ Sunshine Georgies1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026Oakleigh Cannons v Dandenong Thunder2–0
Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons?

On our numbers Dandenong Thunder have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Oakleigh Cannons 72%.

How many goals will there be in Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Our predicted score is Dandenong Thunder 1–2 Oakleigh Cannons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 08:15 (West Africa Time) at George Andrews Reserve.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.