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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

South Melbourne v Heidelberg United: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia
South Melbourne 39%Draw 21%Heidelberg United 40% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.49
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultHeidelberg United to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.83

South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the Victoria NPL brings South Melbourne against Heidelberg United. Kick-off: 06:30 WAT.

Current form

South Melbourne, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Melbourne City II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Heidelberg United, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 4–5 defeat to Hume City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours South Melbourne, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Heidelberg United.

Head to head

When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Heidelberg United 4–0 South Melbourne.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give South Melbourne 1.5 xG, Heidelberg United 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – South Melbourne 39%, draw 21%, Heidelberg United 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Melbourne 1–1 Heidelberg United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

South Melbourne39%fair 2.56 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.40
Heidelberg United40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
2.96Expected goals
1.47South Melbourne xG
1.49Heidelberg United xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: South Melbourne 1.5 – 1.5 Heidelberg United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeidelberg United to win ✓40%2.512.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.60
Draw no betHeidelberg United (draw no bet) ✓51%1.98–
Asian handicapSouth Melbourne +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreHeidelberg United to score first48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heidelberg United / FT Heidelberg United ✗22%4.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%11.83–

Recent results

South Melbourne – last 6

WDWWWD
15 Aug@ Melbourne City II3–0W
9 Augvs Fremantle City3–3D
2 Augvs St. Albans Saints2–0W
30 Julvs Adelaide United2–1W
24 Jul@ Oakleigh Cannons2–1W
18 Julvs Preston Lions0–0D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Heidelberg United – last 6

LDLDWD
15 Augvs Hume City4–5L
12 Aug@ North Sunshine Eagles0–0D
1 Aug@ Avondale1–2L
24 Julvs Sunshine Georgies0–0D
21 Jul@ Cumberland United3–0W
18 Jul@ Altona Magic0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026Heidelberg United v South Melbourne4–0
South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

On our numbers South Melbourne have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Heidelberg United 40%.

How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

Our predicted score is South Melbourne 1–1 Heidelberg United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.