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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Preston Lions v Melbourne City II: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia · Genis Steel Stadium
4–0
FT
Preston Lions 73%Draw 15%Melbourne City II 12% Expected goals 2.27 – 0.75
73%
Betarazi pick

Preston Lions to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultPreston Lions to win ✓73% · @1.20
Double chancePreston Lions or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62

Preston Lions vs Melbourne City II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Melbourne City II travel to face Preston Lions on Wednesday 19 August in the Victoria NPL, with Genis Steel Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT.

Current form

Preston Lions, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dandenong Thunder, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Melbourne City II, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to South Melbourne, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Preston Lions, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Melbourne City II.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Melbourne City II 0–3 Preston Lions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Preston Lions 2.3 xG, Melbourne City II 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Preston Lions 73%, draw 15%, Melbourne City II 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Preston Lions to win (73%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Preston Lions 2–0 Melbourne City II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Preston Lions73%fair 1.37 · @1.20
Draw15%fair 6.55 · @5.80
Melbourne City II12%fair 8.50 · @10.00
3.02Expected goals
2.27Preston Lions xG
0.75Melbourne City II xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Preston Lions 2.3 – 0.7 Melbourne City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPreston Lions to win ✓73%1.371.20
Double chancePreston Lions or draw ✓88%1.131.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.85
Draw no betPreston Lions (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapPreston Lions -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.681.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
First team to scorePreston Lions to score first ✓72%1.40–
Half-time resultPreston Lions ahead at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Preston Lions / FT Preston Lions ✓48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

Preston Lions – last 6

WWDWWD
16 Augvs Dandenong Thunder3–0W
12 Aug@ Brunswick Juventus FC4–1W
31 Julvs Green Gully2–2D
24 Julvs Bentleigh Greens1–0W
21 Julvs Newcastle Jets3–2W
18 Jul@ South Melbourne0–0D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Melbourne City II – last 6

LLLLDW
15 Augvs South Melbourne0–3L
1 Aug@ Hume City0–1L
25 Julvs Avondale2–3L
18 Jul@ Sunshine Georgies0–1L
11 Julvs Heidelberg United2–2D
4 Jul@ Altona Magic3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Melbourne City II v Preston Lions0–3
Preston Lions vs Melbourne City II head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Preston Lions vs Melbourne City II?

Our pick is Preston Lions to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Preston Lions vs Melbourne City II?

On our numbers Preston Lions have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Melbourne City II 12%.

How many goals will there be in Preston Lions vs Melbourne City II?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Preston Lions vs Melbourne City II?

Our predicted score is Preston Lions 2–0 Melbourne City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Preston Lions vs Melbourne City II?

Preston Lions vs Melbourne City II (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Genis Steel Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.