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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hume City v Melbourne City II: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia

Hume City

LLLDW
1–0
FT

Melbourne City II

LLDWW
Hume City 59%Draw 22%Melbourne City II 19% Expected goals 2.19 – 1.22
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultHume City to win ✓59% · @1.68
Double chanceHume City or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Hume City vs Melbourne City II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Melbourne City II travel to face Hume City on Saturday 1 August in the Victoria NPL – the ball rolls at 05:00 WAT.

Current form

Hume City, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to St. Albans Saints, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Melbourne City II, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Avondale, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Melbourne City II 0–1 Hume City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hume City 2.2 xG, Melbourne City II 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hume City 59%, draw 22%, Melbourne City II 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hume City or draw (81%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hume City 2–1 Melbourne City II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hume City59%fair 1.69 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.75
Melbourne City II19%fair 5.22 · @4.20
3.41Expected goals
2.19Hume City xG
1.22Melbourne City II xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Hume City 2.2 – 1.2 Melbourne City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHume City to win ✓59%1.691.68
Double chanceHume City or draw ✓81%1.241.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.601.45
Draw no betHume City (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapMelbourne City II +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.771.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
First team to scoreHume City to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultHume City ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hume City / FT Hume City ✗38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

Hume City – last 6

LLLDWW
24 Jul@ St. Albans Saints2–3L
18 Julvs Oakleigh Cannons0–1L
10 Jul@ Preston Lions1–2L
4 Julvs Dandenong City0–0D
27 Jun@ Dandenong Thunder3–1W
20 Junvs Green Gully3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Melbourne City II – last 6

LLDWWL
25 Julvs Avondale2–3L
18 Jul@ Sunshine Georgies0–1L
11 Julvs Heidelberg United2–2D
4 Jul@ Altona Magic3–0W
26 Jun@ St. Albans Saints2–0W
19 Jun@ Oakleigh Cannons1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Melbourne City II v Hume City0–1
Hume City vs Melbourne City II head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

FT Avondale2 Heidelberg United1 146%2.20X23%3.55231%2.75 1.9–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.45 ✓
FT Altona Magic1 Sunshine Georgies1 138%2.25X25%3.55237%2.70 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Dandenong Thunder0 Dandenong City3 118%4.20X21%3.95261%1.64 1.0–2.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hume City vs Melbourne City II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Hume City vs Melbourne City II?

On our numbers Hume City have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Melbourne City II 19%.

How many goals will there be in Hume City vs Melbourne City II?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hume City vs Melbourne City II?

Our predicted score is Hume City 2–1 Melbourne City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Hume City vs Melbourne City II?

Hume City vs Melbourne City II (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.