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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Melbourne City II v South Melbourne: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia

Melbourne City II

LLLDW
0–3
FT

South Melbourne

DWWWD
Melbourne City II 19%Draw 18%South Melbourne 63% Expected goals 1.02 – 2.09
63%
Betarazi pick

South Melbourne to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✓63% · @1.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Melbourne City II welcome South Melbourne for a Victoria NPL fixture on Saturday 15 August (06:00 WAT).

Current form

Melbourne City II, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hume City, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

South Melbourne, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Fremantle City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours South Melbourne, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Melbourne City II.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended South Melbourne 1–2 Melbourne City II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Melbourne City II 1.0 xG, South Melbourne 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Melbourne City II 19%, draw 18%, South Melbourne 63%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was South Melbourne to win (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Melbourne City II 1–2 South Melbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Melbourne City II19%fair 5.22 · @5.00
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @4.40
South Melbourne63%fair 1.58 · @1.48
3.11Expected goals
1.02Melbourne City II xG
2.09South Melbourne xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–210%
1–110%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Melbourne City II 1.0 – 2.1 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Melbourne to win ✓63%1.581.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.57
Draw no betSouth Melbourne (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapSouth Melbourne -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
First team to scoreSouth Melbourne to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultSouth Melbourne ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne ✓40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

Melbourne City II – last 6

LLLDWW
1 Aug@ Hume City0–1L
25 Julvs Avondale2–3L
18 Jul@ Sunshine Georgies0–1L
11 Julvs Heidelberg United2–2D
4 Jul@ Altona Magic3–0W
26 Jun@ St. Albans Saints2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

South Melbourne – last 6

DWWWDW
9 Augvs Fremantle City3–3D
2 Augvs St. Albans Saints2–0W
30 Julvs Adelaide United2–1W
24 Jul@ Oakleigh Cannons2–1W
18 Julvs Preston Lions0–0D
10 Jul@ Dandenong City2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026South Melbourne v Melbourne City II1–2
Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

FT Heidelberg United4 Hume City5 145%2.10X21%3.55234%2.90 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Sunshine Georgies3 Avondale2 116%5.20X22%4.20263%1.50 1.0–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne?

Our pick is South Melbourne to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne?

On our numbers Melbourne City II have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 18% and South Melbourne 63%.

How many goals will there be in Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne?

Our predicted score is Melbourne City II 1–2 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne?

Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.