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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Melbourne Knights v Northcote City: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL 2 · Australia · Knights Stadium
3–0
FT
Melbourne Knights 39%Draw 23%Northcote City 37% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.30
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultMelbourne Knights to win ✓39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30

Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:30 WAT, Friday 27 March: Melbourne Knights v Northcote City in the Victoria NPL 2, played at Knights Stadium.

Current form

Melbourne Knights, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bulleen Lions, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Northcote City, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Melbourne Srbija, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Northcote City, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Melbourne Knights.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Melbourne Knights 1.5 xG, Northcote City 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Melbourne Knights 39%, draw 23%, Northcote City 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Melbourne Knights 1–1 Northcote City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Melbourne Knights39%fair 2.54 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.80
Northcote City37%fair 2.69 · @2.15
2.79Expected goals
1.49Melbourne Knights xG
1.30Northcote City xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Melbourne Knights 1.5 – 1.3 Northcote City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMelbourne Knights to win ✓39%2.542.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.40
Draw no betMelbourne Knights (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapNorthcote City +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.89–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreMelbourne Knights to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Melbourne Knights / FT Melbourne Knights ✓25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.30–

Recent results

Melbourne Knights – last 6

LWWWWL
21 Mar@ Bulleen Lions0–2L
13 Marvs Melbourne Srbija2–0W
6 Mar@ Brunswick Juventus FC1–0W
27 Febvs North Sunshine Eagles2–1W
20 Febvs Melbourne Victory II3–1W
14 Feb@ North Geelong Warriors0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Northcote City – last 6

WWWWWW
21 Mar@ Melbourne Srbija2–1W
14 Marvs North Sunshine Eagles2–1W
6 Marvs North Geelong Warriors3–0W
27 Feb@ Langwarrin3–1W
20 Febvs Western United II4–1W
13 Feb@ Brunswick City4–2W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Melbourne Knights and Northcote City.

Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL 2 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City?

On our numbers Melbourne Knights have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Northcote City 37%.

How many goals will there be in Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City?

Our predicted score is Melbourne Knights 1–1 Northcote City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City?

Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Knights Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.