Value bet: Melbourne Victory II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMelbourne Victory II to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Melbourne Victory II vs Langwarrin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 30 March the Victoria NPL 2 brings Melbourne Victory II against Langwarrin. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT.
Current form
Melbourne Victory II, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Western United II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Langwarrin, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Eltham Redbacks FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Melbourne Victory II, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Langwarrin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Melbourne Victory II 2.4 xG, Langwarrin 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Melbourne Victory II 59%, draw 19%, Langwarrin 22%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Melbourne Victory II to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Melbourne Victory II 2–1 Langwarrin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Melbourne Victory II59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Langwarrin22%fair 4.61 · @3.10
3.66Expected goals
2.39Melbourne Victory II xG
1.27Langwarrin xG
69%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Melbourne Victory II 2.4 – 1.3 Langwarrin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne Victory II to win✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Draw no bet
Melbourne Victory II (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Melbourne Victory II -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Melbourne Victory II to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Melbourne Victory II ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne Victory II / FT Melbourne Victory II✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Melbourne Victory II – last 6
WLDLLW
23 Mar
vs Western United II
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Brunswick City
2–3
L
9 Mar
vs Bulleen Lions
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ Brunswick Juventus FC
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Melbourne Knights
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Eltham Redbacks FC
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Langwarrin – last 6
LDLLWL
20 Mar
@ Eltham Redbacks FC
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Port Melbourne
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Manningham United Blues
0–4
L
27 Feb
vs Northcote City
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Melbourne Srbija
3–1
W
14 Feb
vs North Sunshine Eagles
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melbourne Victory II and Langwarrin.
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory II vs Langwarrin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Melbourne Victory II vs Langwarrin?
On our numbers Melbourne Victory II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Langwarrin 22%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne Victory II vs Langwarrin?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melbourne Victory II vs Langwarrin?
Our predicted score is Melbourne Victory II 2–1 Langwarrin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Melbourne Victory II vs Langwarrin?
Melbourne Victory II vs Langwarrin (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL 2 · Australia
