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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Langwarrin v Melbourne Knights: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL 2 · Australia
1–4
FT
Langwarrin 22%Draw 22%Melbourne Knights 56% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.91
78%
Betarazi pick

Melbourne Knights or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMelbourne Knights to win ✓56% · @1.62
Double chanceMelbourne Knights or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Melbourne Knights travel to face Langwarrin on Saturday 9 May in the Victoria NPL 2 – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Langwarrin, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Western United II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Melbourne Knights, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Port Melbourne, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Melbourne Knights, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Langwarrin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Langwarrin 1.3 xG, Melbourne Knights 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Langwarrin 22%, draw 22%, Melbourne Knights 56%.
  • Lower-risk option: Melbourne Knights or draw (78%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Melbourne Knights or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Langwarrin 1–1 Melbourne Knights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Langwarrin22%fair 4.55 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.90
Melbourne Knights56%fair 1.79 · @1.62
3.17Expected goals
1.26Langwarrin xG
1.91Melbourne Knights xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–16%
1–36%

From our goals model: Langwarrin 1.3 – 1.9 Melbourne Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMelbourne Knights to win ✓56%1.791.62
Double chanceMelbourne Knights or draw ✓78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.44
Draw no betMelbourne Knights (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapLangwarrin +1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
First team to scoreMelbourne Knights to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultMelbourne Knights ahead at half-time ✓40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Melbourne Knights / FT Melbourne Knights ✓33%3.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Langwarrin – last 6

WLDLDL
2 Mayvs Western United II3–2W
24 Apr@ Brunswick City1–3L
17 Aprvs Bulleen Lions2–2D
10 Apr@ Brunswick Juventus FC0–3L
30 Mar@ Melbourne Victory II3–3D
20 Mar@ Eltham Redbacks FC1–2L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Melbourne Knights – last 6

WLDWWL
1 Mayvs Port Melbourne2–0W
26 Apr@ Western United II2–3L
17 Aprvs Manningham United Blues0–0D
13 Apr@ Brunswick City3–0W
27 Marvs Northcote City3–0W
21 Mar@ Bulleen Lions0–2L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Langwarrin and Melbourne Knights.

Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL 2 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights?

Our pick is Melbourne Knights or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights?

On our numbers Langwarrin have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Melbourne Knights 56%.

How many goals will there be in Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights?

Our predicted score is Langwarrin 1–1 Melbourne Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights?

Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.