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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Melbourne Victory II v Manningham United Blues: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL 2 · Australia
Melbourne Victory II 61%Draw 19%Manningham United Blues 21% Expected goals 2.54 – 1.16
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1

Value bet: Melbourne Victory II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMelbourne Victory II to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82

Melbourne Victory II vs Manningham United Blues: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Melbourne Victory II welcome Manningham United Blues for a Victoria NPL 2 fixture on Monday 11 May (11:30 WAT).

Current form

Melbourne Victory II, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Northcote City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Manningham United Blues, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Eltham Redbacks FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Melbourne Victory II, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Manningham United Blues.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Melbourne Victory II 2.5 xG, Manningham United Blues 1.2 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Melbourne Victory II 61%, draw 19%, Manningham United Blues 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Melbourne Victory II to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Melbourne Victory II 2–1 Manningham United Blues. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Melbourne Victory II61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @3.40
Manningham United Blues21%fair 4.83 · @3.00
3.70Expected goals
2.54Melbourne Victory II xG
1.16Manningham United Blues xG
67%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: Melbourne Victory II 2.5 – 1.2 Manningham United Blues expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMelbourne Victory II to win ✓61%1.651.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.501.40
Draw no betMelbourne Victory II (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapMelbourne Victory II -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
First team to scoreMelbourne Victory II to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultMelbourne Victory II ahead at half-time ✗51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Melbourne Victory II / FT Melbourne Victory II ✗45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.82–

Recent results

Melbourne Victory II – last 6

LLWWDW
1 May@ Northcote City0–1L
25 Apr@ Melbourne Srbija1–2L
18 Apr@ North Sunshine Eagles4–1W
11 Aprvs North Geelong Warriors2–1W
30 Marvs Langwarrin3–3D
23 Marvs Western United II2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Manningham United Blues – last 6

WLDLLW
2 Mayvs Eltham Redbacks FC2–1W
25 Apr@ Port Melbourne1–2L
17 Apr@ Melbourne Knights0–0D
11 Aprvs Northcote City0–2L
28 Marvs Melbourne Srbija1–2L
21 Marvs North Sunshine Eagles1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Melbourne Victory II and Manningham United Blues.

Melbourne Victory II vs Manningham United Blues head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory II vs Manningham United Blues?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Melbourne Victory II vs Manningham United Blues?

On our numbers Melbourne Victory II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Manningham United Blues 21%.

How many goals will there be in Melbourne Victory II vs Manningham United Blues?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Melbourne Victory II vs Manningham United Blues?

Our predicted score is Melbourne Victory II 2–1 Manningham United Blues, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Melbourne Victory II vs Manningham United Blues?

Melbourne Victory II vs Manningham United Blues (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.