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Melbourne Srbija v Western United II: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL 2 · Australia

Melbourne Srbija

WDWWL
3–0
FT

Western United II

LWLWL
Melbourne Srbija 55%Draw 19%Western United II 26% Expected goals 2.12 – 1.29
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultMelbourne Srbija to win ✓55% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43

Melbourne Srbija vs Western United II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

09:15 WAT, Saturday 23 May: Melbourne Srbija v Western United II in the Victoria NPL 2.

Current form

Melbourne Srbija, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Brunswick City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Western United II, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to North Sunshine Eagles, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Melbourne Srbija, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Western United II.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Western United II 1–0 Melbourne Srbija.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Melbourne Srbija 2.1 xG, Western United II 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Melbourne Srbija 55%, draw 19%, Western United II 26%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Melbourne Srbija 2–1 Western United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Melbourne Srbija55%fair 1.82 · @1.91
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.10
Western United II26%fair 3.90 · @2.88
3.40Expected goals
2.12Melbourne Srbija xG
1.29Western United II xG
52%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Melbourne Srbija 2.1 – 1.3 Western United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMelbourne Srbija to win ✓55%1.821.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betMelbourne Srbija (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapWestern United II +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.441.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
First team to scoreMelbourne Srbija to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultMelbourne Srbija ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Melbourne Srbija / FT Melbourne Srbija ✓36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.43–

Recent results

Melbourne Srbija – last 6

WDWWLL
16 Mayvs Brunswick City2–1W
9 May@ Bulleen Lions0–0D
2 Mayvs Brunswick Juventus FC1–0W
25 Aprvs Melbourne Victory II2–1W
18 Aprvs Eltham Redbacks FC1–2L
11 Apr@ Port Melbourne0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Western United II – last 6

LWLWLL
16 May@ North Sunshine Eagles2–3L
10 Mayvs North Geelong Warriors3–2W
2 May@ Langwarrin2–3L
26 Aprvs Melbourne Knights3–2W
19 Aprvs Brunswick City2–4L
11 Apr@ Bulleen Lions0–2L
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Western United II v Melbourne Srbija1–0
Melbourne Srbija vs Western United II head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL 2 predictions

FT North Sunshine Eagles0 Langwarrin1 151%1.70X22%4.50227%3.30 2.0–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.25 ✗
FT Port Melbourne0 Brunswick Juventus FC2 116%5.75X19%4.75265%1.36 0.9–2.1xG 2Brunswick Juventus FC to win 65%@1.36 ✓
FT Bulleen Lions1 Manningham United Blues2 157%2.00X19%3.90225%2.80 2.2–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Melbourne Srbija vs Western United II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Melbourne Srbija vs Western United II?

On our numbers Melbourne Srbija have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Western United II 26%.

How many goals will there be in Melbourne Srbija vs Western United II?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Melbourne Srbija vs Western United II?

Our predicted score is Melbourne Srbija 2–1 Western United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Melbourne Srbija vs Western United II?

Melbourne Srbija vs Western United II (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 09:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.