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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Northcote City v Melbourne Knights: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL 2 · Australia · John Cain Memorial Park

Northcote City

LWLWW
0–1
FT

Melbourne Knights

WLLDW
Northcote City 40%Draw 24%Melbourne Knights 37% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.34
56%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultNorthcote City to win ✗40% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65

Northcote City vs Melbourne Knights: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 10 July the Victoria NPL 2 brings Northcote City against Melbourne Knights at John Cain Memorial Park. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT.

Current form

Northcote City, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Melbourne Srbija, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Melbourne Knights, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bulleen Lions, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Melbourne Knights 3–0 Northcote City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Northcote City 1.4 xG, Melbourne Knights 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Northcote City 40%, draw 24%, Melbourne Knights 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northcote City 2–1 Melbourne Knights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Northcote City40%fair 2.52 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.80
Melbourne Knights37%fair 2.73 · @2.35
2.77Expected goals
1.43Northcote City xG
1.34Melbourne Knights xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Northcote City 1.4 – 1.3 Melbourne Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorthcote City to win ✗40%2.522.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.96–
Draw no betNorthcote City (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapMelbourne Knights +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreNorthcote City to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Northcote City / FT Northcote City ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.65–

Recent results

Northcote City – last 6

LWLWWW
3 Julvs Melbourne Srbija2–3L
20 Jun@ North Sunshine Eagles2–0W
13 Jun@ North Geelong Warriors1–2L
5 Junvs Langwarrin3–1W
31 May@ Western United II2–1W
22 Mayvs Brunswick City1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Melbourne Knights – last 6

WLLDWW
3 Julvs Bulleen Lions3–1W
20 Jun@ Melbourne Srbija0–2L
12 Junvs Brunswick Juventus FC0–1L
6 Jun@ North Sunshine Eagles1–1D
1 Jun@ Melbourne Victory II2–1W
24 Mayvs North Geelong Warriors2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Mar 2026Melbourne Knights v Northcote City3–0
Northcote City vs Melbourne Knights head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL 2 predictions

FT Langwarrin3 Melbourne Victory II3 124%3.30X20%4.50255%1.70 1.5–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Brunswick Juventus FC5 Western United II4 164%1.55X17%4.75219%3.90 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Northcote City vs Melbourne Knights?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Northcote City vs Melbourne Knights?

On our numbers Northcote City have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Melbourne Knights 37%.

How many goals will there be in Northcote City vs Melbourne Knights?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Northcote City vs Melbourne Knights?

Our predicted score is Northcote City 2–1 Melbourne Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Northcote City vs Melbourne Knights?

Northcote City vs Melbourne Knights (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at John Cain Memorial Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.