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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Melbourne Victory II v Northcote City: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL 2 · Australia
Melbourne Victory II 39%Draw 21%Northcote City 39% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.65
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultMelbourne Victory II to win ✗39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.05

Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Northcote City travel to face Melbourne Victory II on Monday 17 August in the Victoria NPL 2 – the ball rolls at 11:15 WAT.

Current form

Melbourne Victory II, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Melbourne Srbija, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Northcote City, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Eltham Redbacks FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Northcote City 1–0 Melbourne Victory II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Melbourne Victory II 1.7 xG, Northcote City 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Melbourne Victory II 39%, draw 21%, Northcote City 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Melbourne Victory II 1–1 Northcote City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Melbourne Victory II39%fair 2.54 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Northcote City39%fair 2.55 · @2.40
3.30Expected goals
1.65Melbourne Victory II xG
1.65Northcote City xG
69%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Melbourne Victory II 1.7 – 1.6 Northcote City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMelbourne Victory II to win ✗39%2.542.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗69%1.451.36
Draw no betMelbourne Victory II (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapNorthcote City +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreMelbourne Victory II to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Melbourne Victory II / FT Melbourne Victory II ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.05–

Recent results

Melbourne Victory II – last 6

WWWDLW
3 Augvs Melbourne Srbija1–0W
27 Julvs North Sunshine Eagles1–0W
18 Jul@ North Geelong Warriors2–0W
10 Jul@ Langwarrin3–3D
5 Jul@ Western United II2–3L
22 Junvs Brunswick City4–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Northcote City – last 6

WWDLLW
31 Julvs Eltham Redbacks FC1–0W
25 Jul@ Port Melbourne3–1W
17 Julvs Manningham United Blues3–3D
10 Julvs Melbourne Knights0–1L
3 Julvs Melbourne Srbija2–3L
20 Jun@ North Sunshine Eagles2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Northcote City v Melbourne Victory II1–0
Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL 2 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City?

On our numbers Melbourne Victory II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Northcote City 39%.

How many goals will there be in Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City?

Our predicted score is Melbourne Victory II 1–1 Northcote City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City?

Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.