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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Eltham Redbacks FC v Northcote City: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL 2 · Australia
Eltham Redbacks FC 38%Draw 24%Northcote City 38% Expected goals 1.67 – 1.54
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1

Value bet: Eltham Redbacks FC to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNorthcote City to win ✗38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.52

Eltham Redbacks FC vs Northcote City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 24 April the Victoria NPL 2 brings Eltham Redbacks FC against Northcote City. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT.

Current form

Eltham Redbacks FC, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Melbourne Srbija, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Northcote City, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Port Melbourne, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Eltham Redbacks FC 1.7 xG, Northcote City 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Eltham Redbacks FC 38%, draw 24%, Northcote City 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Eltham Redbacks FC to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eltham Redbacks FC 1–1 Northcote City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Eltham Redbacks FC38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.30
Northcote City38%fair 2.63 · @2.10
3.21Expected goals
1.67Eltham Redbacks FC xG
1.54Northcote City xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Eltham Redbacks FC 1.7 – 1.5 Northcote City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorthcote City to win ✗38%2.632.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.551.40
Draw no betNorthcote City (draw no bet)50%2.00–
Asian handicapNorthcote City +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreEltham Redbacks FC to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Eltham Redbacks FC / FT Eltham Redbacks FC ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.52–

Recent results

Eltham Redbacks FC – last 6

WWLWWD
18 Apr@ Melbourne Srbija2–1W
11 Aprvs North Sunshine Eagles3–2W
28 Mar@ North Geelong Warriors2–3L
20 Marvs Langwarrin2–1W
15 Mar@ Western United II2–0W
6 Marvs Brunswick City2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Northcote City – last 6

DWLWWW
17 Aprvs Port Melbourne0–0D
11 Apr@ Manningham United Blues2–0W
27 Mar@ Melbourne Knights0–3L
21 Mar@ Melbourne Srbija2–1W
14 Marvs North Sunshine Eagles2–1W
6 Marvs North Geelong Warriors3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Eltham Redbacks FC and Northcote City.

Eltham Redbacks FC vs Northcote City head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL 2 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eltham Redbacks FC vs Northcote City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Eltham Redbacks FC vs Northcote City?

On our numbers Eltham Redbacks FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Northcote City 38%.

How many goals will there be in Eltham Redbacks FC vs Northcote City?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Eltham Redbacks FC vs Northcote City?

Our predicted score is Eltham Redbacks FC 1–1 Northcote City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Eltham Redbacks FC vs Northcote City?

Eltham Redbacks FC vs Northcote City (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.