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Northcote City v Eltham Redbacks FC: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL 2 · Australia · John Cain Memorial Park
Northcote City 52%Draw 21%Eltham Redbacks FC 27% Expected goals 1.88 – 1.42
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultNorthcote City to win ✓52% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81

Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:30 WAT, Friday 31 July: Northcote City v Eltham Redbacks FC in the Victoria NPL 2, played at John Cain Memorial Park.

Current form

Northcote City, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Port Melbourne, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Eltham Redbacks FC, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Melbourne Srbija, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Eltham Redbacks FC 1–1 Northcote City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Northcote City 1.9 xG, Eltham Redbacks FC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Northcote City 52%, draw 21%, Eltham Redbacks FC 27%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northcote City 2–1 Eltham Redbacks FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Northcote City52%fair 1.94 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.10
Eltham Redbacks FC27%fair 3.65 · @3.30
3.30Expected goals
1.88Northcote City xG
1.42Eltham Redbacks FC xG
55%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: Northcote City 1.9 – 1.4 Eltham Redbacks FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorthcote City to win ✓52%1.941.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betNorthcote City (draw no bet) ✓65%1.53–
Asian handicapEltham Redbacks FC +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.531.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreNorthcote City to score first ✓55%1.82–
Half-time resultNorthcote City ahead at half-time ✓37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Northcote City / FT Northcote City ✓30%3.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.81–

Recent results

Northcote City – last 6

WDLLWL
25 Jul@ Port Melbourne3–1W
17 Julvs Manningham United Blues3–3D
10 Julvs Melbourne Knights0–1L
3 Julvs Melbourne Srbija2–3L
20 Jun@ North Sunshine Eagles2–0W
13 Jun@ North Geelong Warriors1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Eltham Redbacks FC – last 6

LDWWLL
24 Julvs Melbourne Srbija0–2L
18 Jul@ North Sunshine Eagles1–1D
11 Julvs North Geelong Warriors3–1W
4 Jul@ Langwarrin6–1W
19 Junvs Western United II3–4L
12 Jun@ Brunswick City1–3L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Eltham Redbacks FC v Northcote City1–1
Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks FC head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL 2 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks FC?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks FC?

On our numbers Northcote City have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Eltham Redbacks FC 27%.

How many goals will there be in Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks FC?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks FC?

Our predicted score is Northcote City 2–1 Eltham Redbacks FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks FC?

Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks FC (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at John Cain Memorial Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.