Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultManagua to win ✗67% · @1.60
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Managua vs Matagalpa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Monday 16 February: Managua v Matagalpa in the Primera Division. In the table, Managua are 1st, leading the league, on 41 points after 16 matches; Matagalpa are 10th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Managua 2.5 xG, Matagalpa 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Managua 67%, draw 19%, Matagalpa 14%.
Lower-risk option: Managua or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Managua to win (67%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Managua 2–0 Matagalpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Managua67%fair 1.49 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @3.60
Matagalpa14%fair 6.90 · @4.80
3.37Expected goals
2.50Managua xG
0.87Matagalpa xG
58%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Managua 2.5 – 0.9 Matagalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Managua to win✗
67%
1.49
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Managua or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.67
Draw no bet
Managua (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Managua -1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Managua to score first✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Managua ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Managua / FT Managua✗
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Managua – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Walter Ferretti
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Matagalpa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Managua and Matagalpa.
Our pick is Managua to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Managua vs Matagalpa?
On our numbers Managua have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Matagalpa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Managua vs Matagalpa?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Managua vs Matagalpa?
Our predicted score is Managua 2–0 Matagalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Managua vs Matagalpa?
Managua vs Matagalpa (Primera Division) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
