America Mineiro W 8%Draw 18%São Paulo W 74%Expected goals 0.65 – 2.20
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultSão Paulo W to win ✗74% · @1.14
Double chanceSão Paulo W or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗10% · fair 9.75
America Mineiro W vs São Paulo W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the Brasileiro Women brings America Mineiro W against São Paulo W. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, America Mineiro W are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 17 matches; São Paulo W are 1st (leading the league) with 41. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
America Mineiro W, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Ferroviaria W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
São Paulo W, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Gremio W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours São Paulo W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.0 for America Mineiro W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America Mineiro W 0.7 xG, São Paulo W 2.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America Mineiro W 8%, draw 18%, São Paulo W 74%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: America Mineiro W 0–2 São Paulo W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America Mineiro W8%fair 12.54 · @21.00
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @5.75
São Paulo W74%fair 1.36 · @1.14
2.85Expected goals
0.65America Mineiro W xG
2.20São Paulo W xG
48%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–214%
0–113%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: America Mineiro W 0.7 – 2.2 São Paulo W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Paulo W to win✗
74%
1.36
1.14
Double chance
São Paulo W or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.45
Draw no bet
São Paulo W (draw no bet)
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
São Paulo W -1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
First team to score
São Paulo W to score first✗
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
São Paulo W ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Paulo W / FT São Paulo W✗
48%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
10%
9.75
–
Recent results
America Mineiro W – last 4
LLLL
20 Apr
@ Ferroviaria W
1–4
L
1 Apr
@ Bahia W
1–3
L
24 Mar
@ Corinthians W
0–4
L
14 Feb
@ Palmeiras W
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
São Paulo W – last 6
WWWDWW
20 Apr
vs Gremio W
3–1
W
30 Mar
@ Atlético Mineiro W
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Palmeiras W
3–0
W
24 Mar
@ Fluminense W
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Bahia W
2–1
W
17 Feb
@ Internacional RS W
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro W and São Paulo W.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro W vs São Paulo W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win America Mineiro W vs São Paulo W?
On our numbers America Mineiro W have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 18% and São Paulo W 74%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro W vs São Paulo W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro W vs São Paulo W?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro W 0–2 São Paulo W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro W vs São Paulo W?
America Mineiro W vs São Paulo W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
