Bahia W vs Gremio W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gremio W travel to face Bahia W on Tuesday 28 April in the Brasileiro Women, with Estadio Joia da Princesa the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Bahia W are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 17 matches; Gremio W are 8th (upper half) with 27. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bahia W, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Flamengo W, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Gremio W, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to São Paulo W, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bahia W, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.0 for Gremio W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bahia W 1.5 xG, Gremio W 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bahia W 46%, draw 27%, Gremio W 27%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bahia W 1–1 Gremio W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bahia W46%fair 2.17 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.25
Gremio W27%fair 3.69 · @3.40
2.58Expected goals
1.52Bahia W xG
1.05Gremio W xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bahia W 1.5 – 1.1 Gremio W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bahia W to win✗
46%
2.17
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.65
Draw no bet
Bahia W (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Gremio W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Bahia W to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bahia W / FT Bahia W✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Bahia W – last 4
WWWL
21 Apr
@ Flamengo W
3–1
W
1 Apr
vs America Mineiro W
3–1
W
17 Mar
vs Ec Vitoria W
3–2
W
24 Feb
@ São Paulo W
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gremio W – last 3
LLL
20 Apr
@ São Paulo W
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Palmeiras W
1–2
L
16 Feb
@ Santos W
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bahia W and Gremio W.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bahia W vs Gremio W?
On our numbers Bahia W have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gremio W 27%.
How many goals will there be in Bahia W vs Gremio W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahia W vs Gremio W?
Our predicted score is Bahia W 1–1 Gremio W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bahia W vs Gremio W?
Bahia W vs Gremio W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Joia da Princesa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
