Value bet: São Paulo W to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSão Paulo W to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceSão Paulo W or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.35
São Paulo W vs Flamengo W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 5 May the Brasileiro Women brings São Paulo W against Flamengo W at Estadio do Caninde. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, São Paulo W are 1st, leading the league, on 41 points after 17 matches; Flamengo W are 5th (upper half) with 30.
Current form
São Paulo W, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with America Mineiro W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Flamengo W, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bahia W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours São Paulo W, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Flamengo W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Paulo W 1.8 xG, Flamengo W 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Paulo W 59%, draw 24%, Flamengo W 17%.
Lower-risk option: São Paulo W or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: São Paulo W to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Paulo W 1–0 Flamengo W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Paulo W59%fair 1.70 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Flamengo W17%fair 5.88 · @4.20
2.61Expected goals
1.79São Paulo W xG
0.82Flamengo W xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: São Paulo W 1.8 – 0.8 Flamengo W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Paulo W to win✓
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Double chance
São Paulo W or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
São Paulo W (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
São Paulo W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
São Paulo W to score first
63%
1.57
–
Half-time result
São Paulo W ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Paulo W / FT São Paulo W✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
São Paulo W – last 6
DWWWDW
27 Apr
@ America Mineiro W
0–0
D
20 Apr
vs Gremio W
3–1
W
30 Mar
@ Atlético Mineiro W
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Palmeiras W
3–0
W
24 Mar
@ Fluminense W
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Bahia W
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Flamengo W – last 6
LDWDDW
21 Apr
vs Bahia W
1–3
L
31 Mar
@ Palmeiras W
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Juventude W
3–1
W
21 Mar
vs Cruzeiro W
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Botafogo W
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs RB Bragantino W
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Paulo W and Flamengo W.
What is the prediction for São Paulo W vs Flamengo W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win São Paulo W vs Flamengo W?
On our numbers São Paulo W have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Flamengo W 17%.
How many goals will there be in São Paulo W vs Flamengo W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Paulo W vs Flamengo W?
Our predicted score is São Paulo W 1–0 Flamengo W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is São Paulo W vs Flamengo W?
São Paulo W vs Flamengo W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Caninde.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
