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Atlético Mineiro W v Ferroviaria W: numbers & prediction

Brasileiro Women · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes
Atlético Mineiro W 21%Draw 26%Ferroviaria W 53% Expected goals 0.95 – 1.53
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultFerroviaria W to win ✓53% · @1.65
Double chanceFerroviaria W or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.73

Atlético Mineiro W vs Ferroviaria W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Atlético Mineiro W v Ferroviaria W in the Brasileiro Women, played at Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes. In the table, Atlético Mineiro W are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 17 matches; Ferroviaria W are 4th (among the top four) with 31. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atlético Mineiro W, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Palmeiras W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Ferroviaria W, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Flamengo W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ferroviaria W, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Atlético Mineiro W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Mineiro W 1.0 xG, Ferroviaria W 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Mineiro W 21%, draw 26%, Ferroviaria W 53%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Mineiro W 0–1 Ferroviaria W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlético Mineiro W21%fair 4.76 · @4.80
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.50
Ferroviaria W53%fair 1.89 · @1.65
2.48Expected goals
0.95Atlético Mineiro W xG
1.53Ferroviaria W xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%

From our goals model: Atlético Mineiro W 1.0 – 1.5 Ferroviaria W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFerroviaria W to win ✓53%1.891.65
Double chanceFerroviaria W or draw ✓79%1.271.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.75
Draw no betFerroviaria W (draw no bet) ✓72%1.40–
Asian handicapAtlético Mineiro W +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreFerroviaria W to score first56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ferroviaria W / FT Ferroviaria W ✗30%3.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.73–

Recent results

Atlético Mineiro W – last 6

LDWDLD
12 May@ Palmeiras W1–4L
1 Mayvs Fluminense W1–1D
28 Aprvs Botafogo W2–0W
20 Apr@ Santos W1–1D
30 Marvs São Paulo W1–2L
22 Feb@ Juventude W0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ferroviaria W – last 6

DWLWDD
11 May@ Flamengo W1–1D
1 Mayvs Mixto W3–0W
25 Apr@ Corinthians W1–3L
20 Aprvs America Mineiro W4–1W
31 Marvs Cruzeiro W1–1D
27 Mar@ Santos W1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atlético Mineiro W and Ferroviaria W.

Atlético Mineiro W vs Ferroviaria W head-to-head page →

Brasileiro Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1São Paulo W171322+2041
2Corinthians W171223+2438
3Palmeiras W171061+2136
4Ferroviaria W17872+931
5Flamengo W17863+930
6Bahia W17854+929
7Cruzeiro W17773+1128
8Gremio W17836+727
9Internacional RS W17836+427
10RB Bragantino W17827+426
11Fluminense W17755+426
12Santos W17656-123
13Atlético Mineiro W17449-816
14Mixto W17269-1712
15Juventude W172510-1311
16America Mineiro W171412-257
17Vitória BA W171412-307
18Botafogo W171214-285

More Brasileiro Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro W vs Ferroviaria W?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Atlético Mineiro W vs Ferroviaria W?

On our numbers Atlético Mineiro W have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ferroviaria W 53%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Mineiro W vs Ferroviaria W?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Mineiro W vs Ferroviaria W?

Our predicted score is Atlético Mineiro W 0–1 Ferroviaria W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Atlético Mineiro W vs Ferroviaria W?

Atlético Mineiro W vs Ferroviaria W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.