Gremio W 68%Draw 21%America Mineiro W 11%Expected goals 1.88 – 0.78
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGremio W to win ✓68% · @1.18
Double chanceGremio W or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Gremio W vs America Mineiro W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gremio W welcome America Mineiro W to Francisco Novelletto Neto for a Brasileiro Women fixture on Sunday 2 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Gremio W are 8th, upper half, on 27 points after 17 matches; America Mineiro W are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gremio W, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Flamengo W, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
America Mineiro W, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Santos W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gremio W 1.9 xG, America Mineiro W 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio W 68%, draw 21%, America Mineiro W 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio W 1–0 America Mineiro W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gremio W68%fair 1.48 · @1.18
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @5.40
America Mineiro W11%fair 9.10 · @15.00
2.66Expected goals
1.88Gremio W xG
0.78America Mineiro W xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gremio W 1.9 – 0.8 America Mineiro W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gremio W to win✓
68%
1.48
1.18
Double chance
Gremio W or draw✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Gremio W (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Gremio W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
First team to score
Gremio W to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Gremio W ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gremio W / FT Gremio W✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Gremio W – last 6
DDLWLL
24 Jul
@ Flamengo W
2–2
D
24 May
@ Juventude W
1–1
D
1 May
vs Corinthians W
0–2
L
28 Apr
@ Bahia W
2–0
W
20 Apr
@ São Paulo W
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Palmeiras W
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
America Mineiro W – last 6
LWLDLL
24 Jul
vs Santos W
0–1
L
24 May
@ Botafogo W
3–0
W
8 May
@ Cruzeiro W
0–4
L
27 Apr
vs São Paulo W
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Ferroviaria W
1–4
L
1 Apr
@ Bahia W
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gremio W and America Mineiro W.
What is the prediction for Gremio W vs America Mineiro W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Gremio W vs America Mineiro W?
On our numbers Gremio W have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and America Mineiro W 11%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio W vs America Mineiro W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio W vs America Mineiro W?
Our predicted score is Gremio W 1–0 America Mineiro W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gremio W vs America Mineiro W?
Gremio W vs America Mineiro W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
