Atlético Mineiro W vs Gremio W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the Brasileiro Women brings Atlético Mineiro W against Gremio W at Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Atlético Mineiro W are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 17 matches; Gremio W are 8th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Atlético Mineiro W, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Bahia W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Gremio W, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cruzeiro W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gremio W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Atlético Mineiro W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Mineiro W 0.9 xG, Gremio W 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Mineiro W 25%, draw 23%, Gremio W 52%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Mineiro W 0–1 Gremio W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Mineiro W25%fair 4.03 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Gremio W52%fair 1.92 · @2.00
2.43Expected goals
0.93Atlético Mineiro W xG
1.50Gremio W xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Atlético Mineiro W 0.9 – 1.5 Gremio W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gremio W to win✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Gremio W (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Mineiro W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Gremio W to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gremio W / FT Gremio W✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Atlético Mineiro W – last 6
LDLLLD
8 Aug
vs Bahia W
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Mixto W
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ RB Bragantino W
0–2
L
24 May
vs Ferroviaria W
2–3
L
12 May
@ Palmeiras W
1–4
L
1 May
vs Fluminense W
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gremio W – last 6
WWDDLW
9 Aug
vs Cruzeiro W
2–0
W
2 Aug
vs America Mineiro W
1–0
W
24 Jul
@ Flamengo W
2–2
D
24 May
@ Juventude W
1–1
D
1 May
vs Corinthians W
0–2
L
28 Apr
@ Bahia W
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Mineiro W and Gremio W.
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro W vs Gremio W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atlético Mineiro W vs Gremio W?
On our numbers Atlético Mineiro W have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gremio W 52%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Mineiro W vs Gremio W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Mineiro W vs Gremio W?
Our predicted score is Atlético Mineiro W 0–1 Gremio W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atlético Mineiro W vs Gremio W?
Atlético Mineiro W vs Gremio W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
