Cruzeiro W 16%Draw 24%Palmeiras W 60%Expected goals 0.90 – 1.92
84%
Betarazi pick
Palmeiras W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Palmeiras W to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras W to win ✗60% · @1.77
Double chancePalmeiras W or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Cruzeiro W vs Palmeiras W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Brasileiro Women brings Cruzeiro W against Palmeiras W. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Cruzeiro W are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 17 matches; Palmeiras W are 3rd (among the top four) with 36.
Current form
Cruzeiro W, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mixto W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Palmeiras W, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Juventude W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruzeiro W 0.9 xG, Palmeiras W 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruzeiro W 16%, draw 24%, Palmeiras W 60%.
Lower-risk option: Palmeiras W or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Palmeiras W to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Palmeiras W or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruzeiro W 0–1 Palmeiras W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruzeiro W16%fair 6.36 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.50
Palmeiras W60%fair 1.67 · @1.77
2.83Expected goals
0.90Cruzeiro W xG
1.92Palmeiras W xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro W 0.9 – 1.9 Palmeiras W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras W to win✗
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Palmeiras W or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Draw no bet
Palmeiras W (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Palmeiras W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Palmeiras W to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Palmeiras W ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras W / FT Palmeiras W✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Cruzeiro W – last 6
WLWLWW
15 Aug
@ Mixto W
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Gremio W
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Botafogo W
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs São Paulo W
1–2
L
19 May
vs Corinthians W
3–2
W
8 May
vs America Mineiro W
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Palmeiras W – last 6
WDWDWW
16 Aug
vs Juventude W
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ferroviaria W
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Internacional RS W
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Mixto W
0–0
D
24 May
@ RB Bragantino W
2–1
W
19 May
vs Botafogo W
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruzeiro W and Palmeiras W.
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro W vs Palmeiras W?
Our pick is Palmeiras W or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cruzeiro W vs Palmeiras W?
On our numbers Cruzeiro W have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Palmeiras W 60%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro W vs Palmeiras W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro W vs Palmeiras W?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro W 0–1 Palmeiras W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro W vs Palmeiras W?
Cruzeiro W vs Palmeiras W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.