Nouadhibou v Chemal Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Feb) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNouadhibou to win ✓53% · @1.75

Double chanceNouadhibou or draw ✓81% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18

Nouadhibou vs Chemal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chemal travel to face Nouadhibou on Sunday 15 February in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Nouadhibou are 4th, among the top four, on 8 points after 4 matches; Chemal are 8th (lower half) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nouadhibou 1.5 xG, Chemal 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Nouadhibou 53%, draw 28%, Chemal 19%.
Lower-risk option: Nouadhibou or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.30 – longer than our fair 1.99, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nouadhibou 1–1 Chemal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nouadhibou53%fair 1.88 · @1.75

Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.88

Chemal19%fair 5.36 · @4.60

2.28Expected goals

1.46Nouadhibou xG

0.83Chemal xG

50%Both score

40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

1–112%

2–011%

0–010%

2–19%

0–18%

From our goals model: Nouadhibou 1.5 – 0.8 Chemal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Nouadhibou to win ✓	53%	1.88	1.75
Double chance	Nouadhibou or draw ✓	81%	1.23	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	50%	1.99	2.30 ▲
Draw no bet	Nouadhibou (draw no bet) ✓	74%	1.35	–
Asian handicap	Chemal +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	–
First team to score	Nouadhibou to score first ✓	57%	1.75	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Nouadhibou / FT Nouadhibou ✓	31%	3.23	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.18	–

Premier League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pompiers	5	3	2	0	+7	11
2	Police	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Gendrim	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Nouadhibou	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Tevragh-Zeïne	5	1	4	0	+3	7
6	N'Zidane	5	2	1	2	0	7
7	AC Douane	5	2	0	3	+1	6
8	Chemal	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Nouakchott Academie	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Kaédi	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Nouakchott King's	5	0	3	2	-4	3
12	SNIM	5	0	2	3	-4	2
13	Armée	5	0	2	3	-6	2
14	Kédia	5	0	2	3	-7	2

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nouadhibou vs Chemal?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.

Who will win Nouadhibou vs Chemal?

On our numbers Nouadhibou have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Chemal 19%.

How many goals will there be in Nouadhibou vs Chemal?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nouadhibou vs Chemal?

Our predicted score is Nouadhibou 1–1 Chemal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Nouadhibou vs Chemal?

Nouadhibou vs Chemal (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Nouadhibou v Chemal: numbers & prediction

Nouadhibou

Chemal

Both teams to score