Value bet: HLM to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultPikine to win41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 6.91
Pikine vs HLM: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pikine welcome HLM for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 15 February (17:30 WAT). In the table, Pikine are 13th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; HLM are 2nd (among the top four) with 10.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pikine 1.0 xG, HLM 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pikine 41%, draw 28%, HLM 31%.
Price worth noting: HLM to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pikine 0–0 HLM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pikine41%fair 2.45 · @2.05
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.80
HLM31%fair 3.24 · @3.70
1.90Expected goals
0.97Pikine xG
0.93HLM xG
43%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–014%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pikine 1.0 – 0.9 HLM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pikine to win
41%
2.45
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Pikine (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
HLM +0.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Pikine to score first
43%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
6.91
–
Recent results
Pikine
No recent results on record.
HLM
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pikine and HLM.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Pikine vs HLM?
On our numbers Pikine have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and HLM 31%.
How many goals will there be in Pikine vs HLM?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pikine vs HLM?
Our predicted score is Pikine 0–0 HLM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Pikine vs HLM?
Pikine vs HLM (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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