Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewroz to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceNewroz or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.42
Newroz vs Al Najaf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 20 February: Newroz v Al Najaf in the Iraqi League.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newroz 1.7 xG, Al Najaf 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 41%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newroz 61%, draw 25%, Al Najaf 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newroz to win (61%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newroz 1–0 Al Najaf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newroz61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.20
Al Najaf14%fair 7.13 · @5.00
2.42Expected goals
1.75Newroz xG
0.67Al Najaf xG
41%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Newroz 1.7 – 0.7 Al Najaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newroz to win✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Double chance
Newroz or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
Newroz (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Newroz -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Newroz to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Newroz ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newroz / FT Newroz✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.42
–
Recent results
Newroz – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al Najaf
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newroz and Al Najaf.
Our pick is Newroz to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Newroz vs Al Najaf?
On our numbers Newroz have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Najaf 14%.
How many goals will there be in Newroz vs Al Najaf?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newroz vs Al Najaf?
Our predicted score is Newroz 1–0 Al Najaf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Newroz vs Al Najaf?
Newroz vs Al Najaf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
