Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultMaranhão to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceMaranhão or draw ✓80% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.66
Maranhão vs IAPE: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
IAPE travel to face Maranhão on Sunday 22 February in the Maranhense – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maranhão 1.5 xG, IAPE 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maranhão 60%, draw 21%, IAPE 20%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maranhão 1–0 IAPE. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maranhão60%fair 1.68 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
IAPE20%fair 5.09 · @5.00
2.11Expected goals
1.46Maranhão xG
0.65IAPE xG
43%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Maranhão 1.5 – 0.7 IAPE expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maranhão to win✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Double chance
Maranhão or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Maranhão (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
IAPE +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Maranhão to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maranhão / FT Maranhão✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.66
–
Recent results
Maranhão
No recent results on record.
IAPE – last 1
L
19 Feb
@ Santa Catarina
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maranhão and IAPE.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Maranhão vs IAPE?
On our numbers Maranhão have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and IAPE 20%.
How many goals will there be in Maranhão vs IAPE?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maranhão vs IAPE?
Our predicted score is Maranhão 1–0 IAPE, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Maranhão vs IAPE?
Maranhão vs IAPE (Maranhense) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Maranhense · Brazil
