Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.46Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChelyabinsk to win ✗40% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Kostroma travel to face Chelyabinsk on Saturday 7 March in the First League, with Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Chelyabinsk are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Spartak Kostroma are 6th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
Chelyabinsk, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FK Sokol Saratov, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelyabinsk 1.3 xG, Spartak Kostroma 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelyabinsk 40%, draw 26%, Spartak Kostroma 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.99.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.99 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelyabinsk 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelyabinsk40%fair 2.48 · @2.41
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Spartak Kostroma33%fair 2.99 · @2.85
2.47Expected goals
1.31Chelyabinsk xG
1.16Spartak Kostroma xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.3 – 1.2 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chelyabinsk
Spartak Kostroma
Attack vs First League average
+2%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.44
1.27
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelyabinsk to win✗
40%
2.48
2.41
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.99 ▲
Draw no bet
Chelyabinsk (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Kostroma +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.46
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
1.01
First team to score
Chelyabinsk to score first
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelyabinsk / FT Chelyabinsk✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Chelyabinsk – last 4
WWLL
28 Feb
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zenit 2
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–3
L
13 Feb
vs KAMAZ
2–5
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Spartak Kostroma
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelyabinsk and Spartak Kostroma.
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spartak Kostroma 33%.
How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chernomorets3
Chayka1
FK Sokol Saratov0