Torpedo Moskva 39%Draw 27%Rodina Moskva 34%Expected goals 1.34 – 1.05
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.39 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.39Odds
1
Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 2.82 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗39% · @2.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the First League brings Torpedo Moskva against Rodina Moskva at Arena Khimki. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Moskva 1.3 xG, Rodina Moskva 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Moskva 39%, draw 27%, Rodina Moskva 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Torpedo Moskva to win @2.82 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Rodina Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torpedo Moskva39%fair 2.54 · @2.82
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.06
Rodina Moskva34%fair 2.94 · @2.51
2.39Expected goals
1.34Torpedo Moskva xG
1.05Rodina Moskva xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.3 – 1.1 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Torpedo Moskva
Rodina Moskva
Attack vs First League average
+19%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.63
1.02
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✗
39%
2.54
2.82 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
Torpedo Moskva (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Rodina Moskva +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.39
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.56
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.10
–
First team to score
Torpedo Moskva to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Torpedo Moskva – last 1
W
1 Mar
@ Chernomorets
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 1
W
2 Mar
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Moskva and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rodina Moskva 34%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva?
Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva (First League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
