Atlético Choloma 17%Draw 25%CD Motagua 58%Expected goals 0.92 – 1.77
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultCD Motagua to win ✓58% · @1.44
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the Liga Nacional brings Atlético Choloma against CD Motagua at Estadio Ruben Deras. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Atlético Choloma are 9th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; CD Motagua are 4th (among the top four) with 28. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atlético Choloma, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CD Olimpia, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
CD Motagua, last 4: DWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olancho, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CD Motagua, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Atlético Choloma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Choloma 0.9 xG, CD Motagua 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Choloma 17%, draw 25%, CD Motagua 58%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Choloma 0–1 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Choloma17%fair 5.94 · @6.00
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @4.20
CD Motagua58%fair 1.72 · @1.44
2.69Expected goals
0.92Atlético Choloma xG
1.77CD Motagua xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: Atlético Choloma 0.9 – 1.8 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✓
58%
1.72
1.44
Double chance
CD Motagua or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.65
Draw no bet
CD Motagua (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Choloma +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.22
First team to score
CD Motagua to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
CD Motagua ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Atlético Choloma – last 3
LWL
26 Feb
@ CD Olimpia
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Victoria
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Real Espana
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CD Motagua – last 4
DWWD
2 Mar
vs Olancho
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Juticalpa
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ CD Olimpia
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs CD Marathon
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Choloma and CD Motagua.
What is the prediction for Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Atlético Choloma have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CD Motagua 58%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Atlético Choloma 0–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua?
Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruben Deras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
