Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗60% · @1.57
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monterrey travel to face Cruz Azul on Wednesday 18 March in the CONCACAF Champions League, with Estadio Cuauhtemoc the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT.
Current form
Cruz Azul, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with U.N.A.M. - Pumas, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Monterrey, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Juarez, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Monterrey.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Monterrey 2–3 Cruz Azul. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cruz Azul 2 wins, Monterrey 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 2.2 xG, Monterrey 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 60%, draw 21%, Monterrey 20%.
Lower-risk option: Cruz Azul or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 2–1 Monterrey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul60%fair 1.68 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.20
Monterrey20%fair 5.10 · @5.20
3.46Expected goals
2.20Cruz Azul xG
1.26Monterrey xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.2 – 1.3 Monterrey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monterrey 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–1 Monterrey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey (CONCACAF Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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