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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Union St. Gilloise v Anderlecht: numbers & prediction

Cup · Belgium · King Baudouin Stadium
1–1
FTAET 3–1
Union St. Gilloise 61%Draw 24%Anderlecht 15% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.86
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✗61% · @1.55
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29

Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Union St. Gilloise welcome Anderlecht to King Baudouin Stadium for a Cup fixture on Thursday 14 May (14:00 WAT).

Current form

Union St. Gilloise, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gent, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Anderlecht, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gent, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 6. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Union St. Gilloise, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Anderlecht.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union St. Gilloise 1.8 xG, Anderlecht 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union St. Gilloise 61%, draw 24%, Anderlecht 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Anderlecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union St. Gilloise61%fair 1.65 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.85
Anderlecht15%fair 6.51 · @6.00
2.63Expected goals
1.78Union St. Gilloise xG
0.86Anderlecht xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 1.8 – 0.9 Anderlecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✗61%1.651.55
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓85%1.181.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.921.83
Draw no betUnion St. Gilloise (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapAnderlecht +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%2.001.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.12
First team to scoreUnion St. Gilloise to score first63%1.60–
Half-time resultUnion St. Gilloise ahead at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.29–

Recent results

Union St. Gilloise – last 3

DWD
22 Aprvs Gent0–0D
12 Apr@ KV Mechelen1–0W
1 Mar@ KVC Westerlo0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Anderlecht – last 6

DLLLDW
10 May@ Gent1–1D
23 Apr@ St. Truiden0–2L
6 Apr@ Club Brugge KV2–4L
15 Mar@ KV Mechelen0–1L
8 Mar@ Club Brugge KV2–2D
22 Feb@ Zulte Waregem4–2W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht.

Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Anderlecht 15%.

How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Anderlecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at King Baudouin Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.