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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bentleigh Greens v South Melbourne: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia
1–5
FT
Bentleigh Greens 17%Draw 22%South Melbourne 61% Expected goals 1.03 – 2.04
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Bentleigh Greens vs South Melbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

South Melbourne travel to face Bentleigh Greens on Friday 19 June in the Victoria NPL – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT.

Current form

Bentleigh Greens, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Hume City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

South Melbourne, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Altona Magic, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours South Melbourne, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Bentleigh Greens.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended South Melbourne 1–0 Bentleigh Greens.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bentleigh Greens 1.0 xG, South Melbourne 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bentleigh Greens 17%, draw 22%, South Melbourne 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: South Melbourne or draw (83%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bentleigh Greens 1–2 South Melbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bentleigh Greens17%fair 6.03 · @5.10
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @4.20
South Melbourne61%fair 1.63 · @1.50
3.07Expected goals
1.03Bentleigh Greens xG
2.04South Melbourne xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–210%
0–110%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Bentleigh Greens 1.0 – 2.0 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Melbourne to win ✓61%1.631.50
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓83%1.201.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.55
Draw no betSouth Melbourne (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapSouth Melbourne -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.651.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.291.25
First team to scoreSouth Melbourne to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultSouth Melbourne ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne ✓39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Bentleigh Greens – last 6

LLDLLL
5 Junvs Hume City1–5L
30 May@ Avondale0–4L
22 Mayvs Sunshine Georgies0–0D
8 Mayvs Melbourne City II0–7L
1 Mayvs St. Albans Saints2–4L
24 Apr@ Oakleigh Cannons0–4L
0.5Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

South Melbourne – last 6

LDLLWL
7 Junvs Altona Magic2–3L
30 May@ Hume City1–1D
25 Mayvs Avondale0–4L
24 Mayvs Auckland FC 21–2L
20 Mayvs Vanuatu United4–0W
18 Mayvs Sunshine Georgies0–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026South Melbourne v Bentleigh Greens1–0
Bentleigh Greens vs South Melbourne head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bentleigh Greens vs South Melbourne?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Bentleigh Greens vs South Melbourne?

On our numbers Bentleigh Greens have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and South Melbourne 61%.

How many goals will there be in Bentleigh Greens vs South Melbourne?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bentleigh Greens vs South Melbourne?

Our predicted score is Bentleigh Greens 1–2 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Bentleigh Greens vs South Melbourne?

Bentleigh Greens vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 19 June 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.