Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMacara to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Saturday 14 February: Macara v Deportivo Cuenca in the Friendlies Clubs.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.6 xG, Deportivo Cuenca 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 44%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cuenca 29%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Macara to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Macara44%fair 2.26 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.90
Deportivo Cuenca29%fair 3.49 · @2.62
2.53Expected goals
1.58Macara xG
0.95Deportivo Cuenca xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Macara 1.6 – 0.9 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-2%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.55
0.62
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win✗
44%
2.26
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Macara (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Cuenca +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Macara to score first
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.59
–
Recent results
Macara
No recent results on record.
Deportivo Cuenca
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macara and Deportivo Cuenca.
What is the prediction for Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Macara have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Cuenca 29%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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