Kauno Žalgiris 54%Draw 26%Panevėžys 20%Expected goals 1.64 – 0.91
80%
Betarazi pick
Kauno Žalgiris or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓54% · @1.95
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:15 WAT, Monday 16 February: Kauno Žalgiris v Panevėžys in the Super Cup, played at Marijampoles futbolo arenos maniezas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kauno Žalgiris 1.6 xG, Panevėžys 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kauno Žalgiris 54%, draw 26%, Panevėžys 20%.
Lower-risk option: Kauno Žalgiris or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kauno Žalgiris or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Panevėžys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kauno Žalgiris54%fair 1.85 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.25
Panevėžys20%fair 4.88 · @3.50
2.55Expected goals
1.64Kauno Žalgiris xG
0.91Panevėžys xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Kauno Žalgiris 1.6 – 0.9 Panevėžys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kauno Žalgiris to win✓
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Kauno Žalgiris or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Draw no bet
Kauno Žalgiris (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Panevėžys +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Kauno Žalgiris to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kauno Žalgiris / FT Kauno Žalgiris✓
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Kauno Žalgiris
No recent results on record.
Panevėžys
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kauno Žalgiris and Panevėžys.
What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
On our numbers Kauno Žalgiris have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Panevėžys 20%.
How many goals will there be in Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Our predicted score is Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Panevėžys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys (Super Cup) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Marijampoles futbolo arenos maniezas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Super Cup · Lithuania · Marijampoles futbolo arenos maniezas
