Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.20
AO Itabaiana vs Falcon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Sergipano brings AO Itabaiana against Falcon at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AO Itabaiana 1.7 xG, Falcon 0.5 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 38%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AO Itabaiana 69%, draw 21%, Falcon 10%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AO Itabaiana to win (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: AO Itabaiana 1–0 Falcon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AO Itabaiana69%fair 1.44 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.80
Falcon10%fair 10.43 · @7.00
2.20Expected goals
1.74AO Itabaiana xG
0.46Falcon xG
38%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–017%
0–011%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: AO Itabaiana 1.7 – 0.5 Falcon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AO Itabaiana to win✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Double chance
AO Itabaiana or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
AO Itabaiana (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
AO Itabaiana -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
AO Itabaiana to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
AO Itabaiana ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AO Itabaiana / FT AO Itabaiana✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.20
–
Recent results
AO Itabaiana
No recent results on record.
Falcon
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AO Itabaiana and Falcon.
What is the prediction for AO Itabaiana vs Falcon?
Our pick is AO Itabaiana to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win AO Itabaiana vs Falcon?
On our numbers AO Itabaiana have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Falcon 10%.
How many goals will there be in AO Itabaiana vs Falcon?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AO Itabaiana vs Falcon?
Our predicted score is AO Itabaiana 1–0 Falcon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is AO Itabaiana vs Falcon?
AO Itabaiana vs Falcon (Sergipano) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sergipano · Brazil · Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
