Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shanghai Shenhua travel to face Beijing Guoan on Saturday 21 March in the Super League, with Beijing Workers' Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 08:30 WAT. In the table, Beijing Guoan are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Shanghai Shenhua are 7th (upper half) with 40.
Current form
Beijing Guoan, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shandong Luneng, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Shanghai Shenhua, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hangzhou Greentown, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Beijing Guoan, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Shanghai Shenhua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beijing Guoan 2.0 xG, Shanghai Shenhua 1.6 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beijing Guoan 45%, draw 22%, Shanghai Shenhua 33%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beijing Guoan 2–1 Shanghai Shenhua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beijing Guoan45%fair 2.24 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.75
Shanghai Shenhua33%fair 3.00 · @2.84
3.61Expected goals
1.99Beijing Guoan xG
1.62Shanghai Shenhua xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.0 – 1.6 Shanghai Shenhua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✗
45%
2.24
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.50
1.33
Draw no bet
Beijing Guoan (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Shanghai Shenhua +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
First team to score
Beijing Guoan to score first✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Beijing Guoan ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Beijing Guoan – last 3
LWW
14 Mar
@ Shandong Luneng
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Wuhan Three Towns
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shanghai Shenhua – last 3
DWL
14 Mar
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–1
D
7 Mar
vs Dalian Zhixing
5–3
W
17 Feb
@ Buriram United
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Shenhua.
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua?
On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shanghai Shenhua 33%.
How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–1 Shanghai Shenhua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
