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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Beijing Guoan v Chengdu Better City: numbers & prediction

Super League · China · Beijing Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan 46%Draw 23%Chengdu Better City 31% Expected goals 2.03 – 1.42
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Beijing Guoan welcome Chengdu Better City to Beijing Workers' Stadium for a Super League fixture on Sunday 12 April (12:35 WAT). In the table, Beijing Guoan are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Chengdu Better City are 2nd (among the top four) with 52. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Beijing Guoan, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shenyang Urban, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Chengdu Better City, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Qingdao Youth Island, at home. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Chengdu Better City, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.4 for Beijing Guoan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beijing Guoan 2.0 xG, Chengdu Better City 1.4 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beijing Guoan 46%, draw 23%, Chengdu Better City 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beijing Guoan 2–1 Chengdu Better City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beijing Guoan46%fair 2.19 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.40
Chengdu Better City31%fair 3.18 · @2.70
3.46Expected goals
2.03Beijing Guoan xG
1.42Chengdu Better City xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–27%
2–07%
1–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.0 – 1.4 Chengdu Better City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeijing Guoan to win ✗46%2.192.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.44
Draw no betBeijing Guoan (draw no bet) ✗59%1.69–
Asian handicapChengdu Better City +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.83–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
First team to scoreBeijing Guoan to score first57%1.75–
Half-time resultBeijing Guoan ahead at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan ✗32%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

Beijing Guoan – last 5

LDLWW
4 Apr@ Shenyang Urban1–2L
21 Marvs Shanghai Shenhua1–1D
14 Mar@ Shandong Luneng1–2L
8 Mar@ Wuhan Three Towns2–0W
1 Mar@ SHANGHAI SIPG2–0W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Chengdu Better City – last 5

WDWWL
3 Aprvs Qingdao Youth Island5–1W
21 Mar@ Chongqing Tongliang Long3–3D
15 Marvs Qingdao Jonoon1–0W
6 Marvs Sichuan Jiuniu5–1W
17 Feb@ Machida Zelvia2–3L
3.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Beijing Guoan and Chengdu Better City.

Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dalian Zhixing3016410+552
2Chengdu Better City301578+1552
3Beijing Guoan3015105+2250
4Shandong Luneng301659+1147
5SHANGHAI SIPG301488+1945
6Yunnan Yukun3012711-243
7Shanghai Shenhua3015510+1740
8Qingdao Youth Island308157-1039
9Hangzhou Greentown3012612+137
10Chongqing Tongliang Long3081210-436
11Sichuan Jiuniu309615-1233
12Tianjin Teda3011811+231
13Shenyang Urban308517-1629
14Henan Jianye3081012-828
15Wuhan Three Towns3051213-1222
16Qingdao Jonoon306420-2815

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City?

On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chengdu Better City 31%.

How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City?

Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–1 Chengdu Better City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City?

Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.