Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: SHANGHAI SIPG to win @ 3.95 – our chance 29% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✗51% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 April the Super League brings Shandong Luneng against SHANGHAI SIPG at Jinan Olympic Sports Center. Kick-off: 12:35 WAT. In the table, Shandong Luneng are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; SHANGHAI SIPG are 5th (upper half) with 45. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shandong Luneng, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dalian Zhixing, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
SHANGHAI SIPG, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Yunnan Yukun, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Shandong Luneng, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for SHANGHAI SIPG.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shandong Luneng 1.9 xG, SHANGHAI SIPG 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shandong Luneng 51%, draw 19%, SHANGHAI SIPG 29%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.38.
Price worth noting: SHANGHAI SIPG to win @3.95 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shandong Luneng 2–1 SHANGHAI SIPG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shandong Luneng51%fair 1.96 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @4.00
SHANGHAI SIPG29%fair 3.39 · @3.95
3.42Expected goals
1.86Shandong Luneng xG
1.56SHANGHAI SIPG xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Shandong Luneng 1.9 – 1.6 SHANGHAI SIPG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✗
51%
1.96
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Draw no bet
Shandong Luneng (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
SHANGHAI SIPG +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
First team to score
Shandong Luneng to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Shandong Luneng – last 3
LWW
4 Apr
vs Dalian Zhixing
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
SHANGHAI SIPG – last 6
WLWLLD
4 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Qingdao Youth Island
4–1
W
7 Mar
vs Henan Jianye
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Beijing Guoan
0–2
L
18 Feb
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shandong Luneng and SHANGHAI SIPG.
What is the prediction for Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
On our numbers Shandong Luneng have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 19% and SHANGHAI SIPG 29%.
How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our predicted score is Shandong Luneng 2–1 SHANGHAI SIPG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG (Super League) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
