ResultChongqing Tongliang Long to win ✗50% · @1.88
Double chanceChongqing Tongliang Long or draw ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Qingdao Youth Island travel to face Chongqing Tongliang Long on Sunday 26 April in the Super League, with Tongliang Long Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Qingdao Youth Island are 8th (upper half) with 39. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SHANGHAI SIPG, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Qingdao Youth Island, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Henan Jianye, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Chongqing Tongliang Long, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Qingdao Youth Island.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.3 xG, Qingdao Youth Island 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chongqing Tongliang Long 50%, draw 28%, Qingdao Youth Island 22%.
Lower-risk option: Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chongqing Tongliang Long50%fair 2.00 · @1.88
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @3.40
Qingdao Youth Island22%fair 4.64 · @3.80
2.13Expected goals
1.33Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
0.80Qingdao Youth Island xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.3 – 0.8 Qingdao Youth Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chongqing Tongliang Long to win✗
50%
2.00
1.88
Double chance
Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw✓
78%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.73
Draw no bet
Chongqing Tongliang Long (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Qingdao Youth Island +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Chongqing Tongliang Long to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chongqing Tongliang Long / FT Chongqing Tongliang Long✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6
WWWDWD
21 Apr
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Chengdu Better City
3–3
D
14 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Tianjin Teda
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Qingdao Youth Island – last 6
DDLWLL
22 Apr
vs Henan Jianye
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Chengdu Better City
1–5
L
21 Mar
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Hangzhou Greentown
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Qingdao Youth Island.
What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Qingdao Youth Island 22%.
How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Tongliang Long Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
